BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.
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Thornburg Tri-County
Class: 1A Class Rank: 82 Conference: (12-9) Overall: (13-10) Overall Strength = 43.74
N Date Location C Stren We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent Resid I Predict
1 12/02/2003 Home L * 43.75 46 55 1A 36 (15- 7) Lynnville-Sully -0.22 -8.78
2 12/05/2003 Away W * 47.55 49 41 1A 97 ( 7-15) Marengo Iowa Valley 3.57 4.43
3 12/12/2003 Away W * 36.98 63 46 1A 146 ( 0-22) English Valleys -6.99 23.99
4 12/13/2003 Away L * 45.84 43 60 1A 21 (23- 3) North Mahaska 1.87 -18.87
5 12/16/2003 Away L * 26.31 46 52 2A 124 ( 7-15) Sigourney -17.66 11.66
6 12/19/2003 Away L * 26.45 32 53 1A 65 (14- 9) Victor HLV -17.53 -3.47
7 12/20/2003 Home L * 47.78 62 75 2A 49 (19- 4) Montezuma 3.81 -16.81
8 01/06/2004 Home L * 39.88 54 59 2A 90 (14- 9) Belle Plaine -4.09 -0.91
9 01/09/2004 Home W * 46.61 61 48 2A 116 ( 6-16) Brooklyn BGM 2.64 10.36
10 01/12/2004 Away W * 46.82 66 58 1A 108 ( 7-16) Keota 2.85 5.15
11 01/13/2004 Away L * 40.67 46 62 1A 36 (15- 7) Lynnville-Sully -3.30 -12.70
12 01/16/2004 Home W * 45.63 51 41 1A 97 ( 7-15) Marengo Iowa Valley 1.65 8.35
13 01/23/2004 Home W * 38.90 56 52 1A 108 ( 7-16) Keota -5.07 9.07
14 01/24/2004 Home W 56.13 72 70 1A 37 (20- 5) Lone Tree 12.16 -10.16
15 01/27/2004 Home W * 49.06 76 43 1A 146 ( 0-22) English Valleys 5.09 * 27.91
16 01/30/2004 Home L * 41.92 45 62 1A 21 (23- 3) North Mahaska -2.05 -14.95
17 02/03/2004 Home W * 35.39 62 55 2A 124 ( 7-15) Sigourney -8.59 15.59
18 02/09/2004 Home W * 58.53 72 57 1A 65 (14- 9) Victor HLV 14.55 0.45 rescheduled from 02/06/04
19 02/10/2004 Away L * 36.70 52 80 2A 49 (19- 4) Montezuma -7.27 -20.73
20 02/13/2004 Away W * 52.80 49 45 2A 90 (14- 9) Belle Plaine 8.83 -4.83
21 02/17/2004 Away W * 47.53 67 57 2A 116 ( 6-16) Brooklyn BGM 3.56 6.44
22 02/26/2004 Neutral W * 39.59 45 43 1A 97 ( 7-15) Marengo Iowa Valley -4.39 6.39
23 03/01/2004 Away L 60.56 44 47 1A 22 (23- 3) Iowa Mennonite 16.59 -19.59
Averages 43.97 54.7 54.8
Best game: 60.56 = 3 point loss to Kalona Iowa Mennonite
Worst game: 26.31 = 6 point loss to Sigourney
Team stdev: 8.72